Teaching Comparative Government and Politics

Sunday, May 11, 2008

Two-year old prophecy

Less than two weeks after I started writing this blog at the beginning of May 2006, I cited a New York Times article, "Putin Says to Name Preferred Successor."

The link to the article itself is no longer active, so all I can see is the excerpt I quoted at the time.

The article noted that, "Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov and First Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev are widely seen as frontrunners to be picked by the Kremlin to follow Putin. The lawyer Medvedev and ex-spy Ivanov come from different backgrounds, but are both seen as likely to maintain Putin's course of ensuring a strong Kremlin, and being assertive abroad..."

The author of the Reuters report concluded by saying, "I'd put my money on Ivanov, given Putin's KGB background. But, if Medvedev has been a realiable and pliable assistant in the Kremlin, he might get the nod. Ah, democratic politics, Russian style. It's as interesting as capitalism, Chinese style and revolutionary politics, Mexican style."

If the writer was correct and Medvedev was "a realiable and pliable assistant," perhaps we can expect him to continue in that role.


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